Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.175441 0.197147 0.219866 0.245364 0.273126 0.302381 0.335483
2025-02-23 0.151690 0.181887 0.215056 0.254001 0.298276 0.346844 0.403943
2025-03-02 0.128363 0.163210 0.203170 0.251969 0.309522 0.374804 0.453992
2025-03-09 0.111435 0.149481 0.194835 0.252177 0.321992 0.403468 0.504923
2025-03-16 0.097119 0.137044 0.186393 0.250806 0.331510 0.428103 0.551168
2025-03-23 0.088291 0.130373 0.184089 0.256174 0.348740 0.461923 0.608918
2025-03-30 0.078790 0.121715 0.178267 0.256225 0.358712 0.486579 0.655640
2025-04-06 0.070570 0.113882 0.172699 0.255861 0.367606 0.509633 0.700502
2025-04-13 0.063474 0.106868 0.167541 0.255412 0.375927 0.531754 0.744324
2025-04-20 0.058119 0.101824 0.164610 0.257567 0.387444 0.557985 0.793747
2025-04-27 0.054748 0.099408 0.165130 0.264336 0.405201 0.592644 0.854743
2025-05-04 0.050424 0.095080 0.162477 0.266271 0.416110 0.618208 0.904072
2025-05-11 0.046754 0.091634 0.161125 0.270319 0.430562 0.649590 0.962910
2025-05-18 0.044644 0.090551 0.163254 0.279509 0.452545 0.691767 1.037267
2025-05-25 0.040164 0.085002 0.158006 0.277247 0.457776 0.710770 1.080337
2025-06-01 0.036661 0.080794 0.154553 0.277431 0.466409 0.734557 1.130324
2025-06-08 0.033189 0.076273 0.150230 0.275931 0.472316 0.754442 1.175114
2025-06-15 0.031363 0.074628 0.150548 0.281702 0.489223 0.790313 1.242929
2025-06-22 0.028725 0.071140 0.147460 0.281750 0.497268 0.813423 1.292978
2025-06-29 0.026264 0.067732 0.144248 0.281353 0.504479 0.835329 1.341571
2025-07-06 0.024018 0.064510 0.141118 0.280867 0.511410 0.856832 1.389839
2025-07-13 0.022358 0.062340 0.139724 0.283187 0.522751 0.885022 1.448204
2025-07-20 0.021473 0.061762 0.141219 0.290477 0.542185 0.925671 1.525407